MANILA, Nov 1 (Mabuhay) — With their COVID-19 reproduction number less than 0.9, all local government units in the National Capital Region are now on a downward trend, OCTA Research group said Monday.
OCTA also said that all LGUs in the region are now at low risk for COVID-19, with Navotas classified as very low risk for the illness.
“While some LGUs had a one-week growth rate, all 17 LGUs had reproduction numbers less than 0.9. This means all LGUs in the NCR are still on a downward trend,” OCTA said in its latest update.
During the Laging Handa briefing, OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David said the reproduction number of most LGUs was around 0.5 to 0.6.
He also said that OCTA was not concerned with the positive one-week growth rate in NCR.
“Hindi naman kami concerned sa positive growth rate kasi minsan may delays lang sa data kaya nagkakaroon ng positive growth rate. Ang tinitignan natin ay ‘yung reproduction number,” he said.
The reproduction rate refers to the number of people infected by one case. A reproduction number that is below 1 indicates that the transmission of the virus is slowing down.
OCTA also said the positivity rate in NCR decreased to 5% which is considered “low,” while the reproduction number was 0.53, which is also “low.”
Also considered “low” is NCR’s healthcare utilization at 30%.
According to OCTA, the seven-day average in the region decreased by 14% to 810.
According to OCTA’s data, Navotas recorded an average daily attack rate (ADAR) of 1.48 per 100,000. San Juan and Mandaluyong, meanwhile, recorded the highest ADAR with 15.85 and 10.03, respectively.
OCTA, an independent monitoring group, however said its report does not necessarily reflect the official position of the Department of Health, the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases or IATF, and LGUs.
On Sunday, the Philippines reported only 3,410 new COVID-19 cases, bringing the total to 2,787,276. Of this number, 45,233 are active and 2,698,871 have recovered.
NCR is under Alert Level 3 where several establishments — including restaurants, gyms, cinemas and movie houses — are allowed to operate at 30% indoor venue capacity only for fully vaccinated individuals, and 50% outdoor venue capacity, provided that all employees are fully vaccinated.
The government has also approved increased operational capacity for public transport to a maximum of 70% from the previous 50% starting Thursday, November 4. (MNS)