MANILA, Sept 23 (Mabuhay) — Senator Grace Poe, Vice President Jejomar Binay, and former Interior Secretary Mar Roxas are neck and neck in a 12-man presidential race, according to the latest Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey where respondents were given a list of 12 names and asked to choose only one.
In the September 2-5 survey of SWS and BusinessWorld, where 1,200 respondents were shown a list with 12 names, 26% of the respondents said they would vote for Poe, 24% for Binay, and 20% for Roxas.
The results of the survey were first published by BusinessWorld, and it was the business paper who supplied SWS the list of 12 names.
Respondents were asked the question: ”Among the names found in this list, who will you probably vote for as president of the Philippines if elections were held today?”
Grace Poe: 26%
Jejomar Binay: 24%
Manuel Roxas II: 20%
Rodrigo Duterte: 11%
Ferdinand Marcos Jr.: 4%
Francis Escudero: 4%
Joseph Estrada: 3%
Miriam Santiago: 2%
Manuel Villar: 1%
Panfilo Lacson: 0.8%
Alan Peter Cayetano: 0.8%
Loren Legarda: 0.8%
The BusinessWorld report said the list shown was in alphabetical order and included nicknames as what the Commission on Elections does during election day.
Given the survey’s sampling error margin of plus/minus 3 percentage points for national percentages, the three presidential aspirants are ”statistically tied”, political analyst Edmund Tayao told BusinessWorld.
An earlier SWS survey, which asked respondents to name three good leaders who should succeed President Benigno Aquino III in 2016 (with no list provided), showed Poe emerging on top with 47%.
In this pick-3 survey, Roxas saw his rating jump by 18 percentage points to 39%. Binay got 35%.
Given this survey’s plus/minus 3% margin of error, Roxas was in a statistical tie with Binay in second place.
Several analysts had criticized the first methodology, saying the results of the pick-3 survey were not useful in gauging the rankings of presidential aspirants.
Poe and her running mate, Senator Francis Escudero, emerged as the top picks for the vice-presidential race, SWS said.
Poe got 27% while Escudero, who announced his plan to run for vice-president last week, got 20%.
Following Poe and Escudero in the vice-presidential poll are:
Rodrigo Duterte: 9%
Ferdinand Marcos Jr.: 7%
Joseph Estrada: 7%
Alan Peter Cayetano: 5%
Loren Legarda: 5%
Vilma Santos-Recto: 4%
Senator Antonio F. Trillanes IV: 4%
Panfilo Lacson: 3%
Leni Robredo: 3%
Jinggoy Estrada: 2%
Lito Atienza, Jr.: 0.9%
In the vice-presidential poll, the respondents were also furnished with a BusinessWorld-approved list of 13 names to choose from and answered orally.
They were asked the question: ”Among the names found in this list, who will you probably vote for as vice-president of the Philippines if elections were held today?” (MNS)